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Trader {{status.trader_up ? 'running' : 'down'}}
Kill switch on
{{status.real_orders ? 'Live: real orders on' : 'Live: off'}}
Kalshi cash {{usd(status.cash)}}
Order cap {{pct(status.cap)}} = {{usd(status.cap * status.cash)}}
heartbeat {{ago(status.heartbeat)}}
Set up your account
You don't have a trading account on this site yet. Make one and it starts paper trading right away on Kalshi's live prices (no money involved, no Kalshi sign-up needed). Add your own Kalshi API key later if you want the Live account to trade real money.
Create my account
You're a site administrator without an account of your own. Make one under All accounts → New account (pick yourself as the owner), or open an existing one from the account menu once there is one.
Your login doesn't have a trading account here yet. Ask the site's administrator to give you the Kalshi trader role (then come back to create your own account), or to add you as a viewer of an account.
{{t.label}} (BETA)
Live trade {{liveAlert.market}} {{String(liveAlert.side).toUpperCase()}} {{num(liveAlert.qty)}} @ {{cents(liveAlert.price, 1)}} · {{usd(liveAlert.cost)}} · via {{label(liveAlert.via)}} · {{timeOfDay(liveAlert.at)}}
Live
Paper
{{params.GUEST ? 'Live · demo (simulated, no real money)' : 'Live · real money'}}
Live P&L
{{signed(tiles.live.pnl)}}
{{tiles.live.trades}} trades · last 24 h {{signed(tiles.live.day)}}
Live open now
{{signed(tiles.live.openPnl)}}
{{tiles.live.openCount}} open, at the bid · {{tiles.live.settling}} settling · {{tiles.live.openCount - (tiles.live.settling || 0) > 1 ? 'next closes' : 'closes'}} in
Live if settled now
{{tiles.live.ahead + tiles.live.behind ? signed(tiles.live.ifNow) : usd(0)}}
{{tiles.live.ahead}} up · {{tiles.live.behind}} down · {{tiles.live.unpriced}} unpricednothing open
Cash if settled now
{{tiles.live.cashIfNow === null ? '-' : usd(tiles.live.cashIfNow)}}
cash {{usd(status.cash)}} + {{usd(tiles.live.payout)}} paid outthe cash now: nothing up to pay out
Live stake
{{usd(tiles.live.stake)}}
real money in open positions
Paper
Best paper strategy
{{signed(tiles.best.pnl)}}
{{tiles.best.label}} · {{tiles.best.trades}} trades
{{params.GUEST ? 'Paper · demo (simulated)' : 'Paper · crypto accounts'}} why so much more than Live? {{paperWhyOpen ? '▾' : 'ⓘ'}}
Combined P&L
{{signed(tiles.combined.pnl)}}
{{tiles.combined.trades}} trades
Best paper strategy
{{signed(tiles.best.pnl)}}
{{tiles.best.label}} · {{tiles.best.trades}} trades
Paper open now
{{signed(tiles.paper.openPnl)}}
{{tiles.paper.openCount}} open, at the bid · {{tiles.paper.settling}} settling
Paper stake
{{usd(tiles.paper.stake)}}
in paper open positions
{{s.heading || 'Other strategies (paper)'}}
Bankroll
Last 24 h
Trades
Won / lost
Win rate
P&L
Open now
Stake
⚙{{r.label}}
{{r.bankroll === null ? '—' : usd(r.bankroll)}}
{{r.todayTrades ? signed(r.today) : '—'}}
{{r.trades}}
{{r.won}} / {{r.lost}}
{{r.won + r.lost ? pct(r.won / (r.won + r.lost), 1) : '—'}}
{{r.trades ? signed(r.pnl) : '—'}}
{{r.open ? signed(r.openPnl) + ' (' + r.open + ')' : '—'}} · {{r.settling}} settling
{{r.stake ? usd(r.stake) : '—'}}
↳ {{p.market}} {{String(p.side).toUpperCase()}} · {{label(p.via)}}
{{num(p.qty)}} @ {{cents(p.price, 1)}}
settlingcloses in
bid {{p.bid === null ? '-' : cents(p.bid, 1)}}
win {{signed(p.if_win)}}
{{p.pnl_now === null ? '-' : signed(p.pnl_now)}}
{{usd(p.cost)}}
↳ {{p.market}} {{String(p.side).toUpperCase()}} · {{label(p.via)}}
{{num(p.qty)}} @ {{cents(p.price, 1)}}
{{time(p.at)}}
Void{{p.result === p.side ? 'Won' : 'Lost'}}
{{p.pnl === null ? '-' : signed(p.pnl)}}
{{usd(p.cost)}}
Subtotal
{{signed(s.total.today)}}
{{s.total.trades}}
{{s.total.won}} / {{s.total.lost}}
{{s.total.won + s.total.lost ? pct(s.total.won / (s.total.won + s.total.lost), 1) : '—'}}
{{signed(s.total.pnl)}}
{{s.total.open ? signed(s.total.openPnl) + ' (' + s.total.open + ')' : '—'}}
{{s.total.stake ? usd(s.total.stake) : '—'}}
Combined member (trades live when Live is on)
Paper only
Off
Last 24 h, Open now and Stake (the cost of the open positions) are always the last 24 hours / right now; the other columns follow the period. A position whose window has closed shows as settling until Kalshi's result is stored. Click a row to open the strategy.
{{ordersView.length}} of {{orders.length}}
Export CSV
Time{{tsMark('ord', 'at')}}
Market{{tsMark('ord', 'market')}}
Strategy{{tsMark('ord', 'via')}}
Side{{tsMark('ord', 'side')}}
Limit{{tsMark('ord', 'limit')}}
Ordered{{tsMark('ord', 'qty')}}
Filled{{tsMark('ord', 'filled')}}
Avg price{{tsMark('ord', 'avg')}}
Fees{{tsMark('ord', 'fees')}}
Status{{tsMark('ord', 'status')}}
Result{{tsMark('ord', 'result')}}
P&L{{tsMark('ord', 'pnl')}}
Running total{{tsMark('ord', 'cum')}}
{{when(o.created_at)}}
{{o.market}}
{{label(o.via || o.strategy)}}
{{o.side.toUpperCase()}}
{{o.limit_price !== null ? cents(o.limit_price) : ''}}
{{o.quantity}}
{{o.filled_quantity !== null ? num(o.filled_quantity) : '0'}}
{{o.avg_fill_price !== null ? cents(o.avg_fill_price) : ''}}
{{o.fees !== null ? usd(o.fees) : ''}}
{{o.status}} ⚠
{{o.result ? o.result.toUpperCase() : ''}}
{{o.pnl !== null ? signed(o.pnl) : ''}}
{{o.cum !== null ? signed(o.cum) : ''}}
No real orders yet.
No orders match the filters.
New strategy
Starts from another strategy's current settings, on its own paper account. Then change anything on its Settings tab. It trades on paper until you add it to Combined's strategies.
Create
Cancel
{{s.heading || 'Main'}}
Mode
⚙{{x.label}}
{{modeLabel((configFor(x.key) || {}).mode)}}
{{info(strat.key).description}}
{{p.key === 'reset' ? 'Since reset' : p.label}}
Since Live's P&L reset, {{resetLabel}}, as on the Overview. The Bankroll tile and the Activity list's running total are all-time.
{{stratAll.settingsSince ? 'Entries since the settings last changed, ' + time(stratAll.settingsSince) + '.' : 'No settings change recorded; showing all entries.'}}
Settings last changed {{time(stratAll.settingsSince)}}.
Paper, full size. Every entry the rules take, on the paper bankroll. The Live account runs the same settings with real money.
Real money. Sized from the Kalshi account (cash plus open positions); only what fills is counted.
Bankroll
{{stratBankroll === null ? '…' : usd(stratBankroll)}}
P&L
{{strat.periodRows ? (stratStats.settled ? signed(stratStats.pnl) : '-') : '…'}}
Return
{{strat.periodRows && stratBase ? signedPct(stratStats.pnl / stratBase) : '…'}}
Trades
{{strat.periodRows ? stratStats.trades : '…'}}
{{stratStats.open}} open
Won / lost
{{stratStats.wins}} / {{stratStats.losses}}
Win rate
{{stratStats.winRate === null ? '-' : pct(stratStats.winRate, 1)}}
Equity
Orders. Each order is capped at {{pct(shared.control ? shared.control.live_max_order_fraction : null, 1)}} of the Kalshi cash (≈ {{usd(shared.account.kalshi_balance_usd * shared.control.live_max_order_fraction)}}); only what fills counts above. Every real order
Return per $
{{strat.summary.settled_stake ? pct(strat.summary.pnl / strat.summary.settled_stake, 2) : '-'}}
Filled
{{strat.summary.requested ? pct(strat.summary.filled / strat.summary.requested, 0) : '-'}}
Price vs paper
{{centsDiff(strat.summary.price_vs_paper)}}
Staked
{{usd(strat.summary.staked)}}
{{coinsOpen ? '▾' : '▸'}} Results by {{hasMembers(strat.key) ? 'strategy and coin' : 'coin'}} {{stratCoins.length}} rows hidden
Strategy
Coin
Trades
Lost
P&L
Return per $
Loading…
{{c.member ? label(c.member) : 'Not recorded'}} Not trading · {{c.stopped}}
{{c.coin}}
{{c.trades}} · {{c.open_trades}} open
{{c.losses}}
{{c.trades > c.open_trades ? signed(c.pnl) : '-'}}
{{signedPct(c.rpd)}}
Activity
Settings
{{c[1]}}
Export CSV
In range: {{strat.counts.trades}} trades, {{strat.counts.settled - strat.counts.wins}} lost, {{signed(strat.counts.pnl)}}
Time{{tsMark('act', 'at')}}
Market{{tsMark('act', 'market')}}
Side{{tsMark('act', 'side')}}
Price{{strat.sort === 'price_desc' ? ' ↓' : strat.sort === 'price_asc' ? ' ↑' : ''}}
Contracts{{tsMark('act', 'qty')}}
Stake{{tsMark('act', 'stake')}}
Result{{tsMark('act', 'result')}}
P&L{{tsMark('act', 'pnl')}}
Running total{{tsMark('act', 'cum')}}
Loading…
Nothing here yet.
{{g.label}} · day total, {{g.rows.filter(l => isEntry(l.d)).length}} trade{{g.rows.filter(l => isEntry(l.d)).length === 1 ? '' : 's'}}
{{g.pnl === null ? '' : signed(g.pnl)}} now
{{ts.act || strat.sort ? when(l.d.created_at) : timeOfDay(l.d.created_at)}}
{{marketLabel(l.d.ticker)}} via {{label(l.d.features.via)}}
{{l.d.side.toUpperCase()}}
{{cents(l.f.price, 1)}}
{{num(l.f.quantity)}}
{{isEntry(l.d) ? usd(l.f.cost) : ''}}
{{l.d.decision === 'reject' ? 'Skip' : l.d.decision}}
· would have {{strat.would[l.d.id].won ? 'won' : 'lost'}}
Void
{{l.f.result === l.d.side ? 'Won' : 'Lost'}}
Open
{{signed(l.f.pnl)}}
{{signed(l.now)}} now
({{signed(strat.would[l.d.id].pnl)}})
{{l.cum === null ? '' : signed(l.cum)}}
↳ {{timeOfDay(t.created_at)}}
{{marketLabel(t.ticker)}}
{{t.side.toUpperCase()}}
{{cents(t.price, 1)}}
{{num(t.quantity)}}
with its entry
Load more
{{shared.control ? 'Settings unavailable: there is no kb_strategy_config row for ' + label(strat.key) + '.' : 'Loading…'}}
You're setting up Combined: which strategies trade together, on what coins, and how big each trade is.
- Strategies: pick the strategies that trade here. Each one uses its own entry rules (coins, entry window, prices, filters) from its own settings page.
- Coins per strategy: optionally narrow a strategy to some of its coins, here only.
- Sizing and limits: how much each trade stakes and how much can be at risk at once, shared by every strategy here.
- Save: you'll see a summary of the changes to confirm first.
Live is ON: the Live account copies these exact settings with real money, so a save changes real orders within about 10 seconds.
Combined trades on paper. Live (real money) copies these settings whenever it's switched on.
With {{settingsIntro.members}} strategies picked, see “How the strategies interact” under Members{{settingsWarnings.length ? ' and the checks above the Save button' : ''}}.
You're setting up Combined test: a second Combined on paper only, to watch a different line-up beside Combined.
- Strategies: pick the strategies to try together. Each uses its own entry rules from its own settings page.
- Coins per strategy: optionally narrow a strategy to some of its coins, here only.
- Sizing and limits: how much each trade stakes on this test's own $3,000 paper bankroll.
- Save: you'll see a summary of the changes to confirm first.
No real money: Live copies Combined only, never this test. When it proves itself, use Copy to Combined below to make Combined (and so Live) trade this way.
With {{settingsIntro.members}} strategies picked, see “How the strategies interact” under Members.
You're editing {{label(strat.key)}}'s entry rules: which coins it trades, when in the window, at what prices, with which filters.
It's one of Combined's strategies, so Combined{{settingsIntro.liveOn ? ' and Live (real money, on now)' : ' and Live'}} enter trades through these rules. Its sizing and limits apply only to its own paper account; Combined sizes with its own.
Save shows a summary of the changes to confirm first.
Live has no settings of its own: it runs Combined's strategies and sizing with real money.
Change them on Combined. Live is switched on and off with its mode, and each real order is capped by the live order cap (Controls).
You're editing {{label(strat.key)}}{{settingsIntro.kind === 'custom' ? ', a custom strategy' : ''}}: its coins, entry rules and sizing.
It trades on its own paper bankroll only: no real money uses these settings unless you add it to Combined's strategies.
Save shows a summary of the changes to confirm first.
{{settingsNote}} Open Combined's settings
Waiting for the trader to publish its settings limits…
The dollar figures beside the percentages are on {{hasMembers(strat.key) && strat.key !== 'combined_test' ? "Live's bankroll now" : 'its paper bankroll now'}}, {{usd(settingsBank)}}{{hasMembers(strat.key) && strat.key !== 'combined_test' ? ' (Kalshi cash plus open positions)' : ''}}, with the values as typed. They move as the bankroll does.
{{g.name}}
{{f.label}}
{{f.help}}
Stored value can't be read here ({{settingsValues[f.key]}}). Reset this account to defaults to edit it.
{{f.unit || ''}}
{{f.unit || ''}}
{{label(m)}}
All coins
all its coins
{{settingUsd(f)}}
How the strategies interact
Each strategy enters a market at most once. Two of them only compete when they trade the same coin during the same part of the 15-minute window.
{{label(c.a)}} + {{label(c.b)}}: {{c.summary}}
Settings that affect each other
{{x.text}}
The trader ignored: {{settingsModel.conf.effective_errors.join('; ')}}
{{settingsError}}
New strategy
Starts from another strategy's current settings, on its own paper account. Then change anything on its Settings tab. It trades on paper until you add it to Combined's strategies.
Create
Cancel
Loading…
What-if settings used only by this backtest: nothing is saved, Live keeps its own
What-if settings not Live's: changed values are marked; nothing was saved
Live's rules, as set now edit them here to try other values, or change Live's under Controls and Combined's settings (this page replays within 15 seconds)
Backtest
Quick test
Reset to Live
Close
Edit settings
Use Live's settings
Live coins
Combined's members
{{label(m)}} trades
(none ticked: all its coins)
(only the live coins above are traded)
{{wiExtraCoins(m).join(', ')}}: not in its own settings. {{wi.source === 'history' ? 'Historical replays its rules there too; to trade it for real, add the coin under the strategy\'s own Coins setting.' : 'Recorded has no entries there: choose Historical to try it.'}}
Bankroll {{usd(wiBank)}} {{wi.bankroll === '' ? '(default)' : '(typed)'}}
Stake {{pct(wi.eff.stake_fraction, 1)}} · BTC {{pct(wi.eff.btc_stake_fraction, 1)}}
BTC floor {{wi.eff.btc_min_price === null ? 'none' : cents(wi.eff.btc_min_price, 1)}}
Minimum order {{wi.eff.min_order ? usd(wi.eff.min_order) : 'none'}}
Max per market {{pct(wi.eff.max_market, 0)}}
Max open {{pct(wi.eff.max_exposure, 0)}}
Daily loss limit {{pct(wi.eff.max_daily_loss, 0)}}
Live order cap {{pct(wi.eff.order_cap, 2)}} ≈ {{usd(wi.settings.cash * wi.eff.order_cap)}} an order now
Live coins {{wi.eff.live_coins.join(', ')}}
Combined {{wi.eff.members.map(label).join(' + ') || 'no members'}} · one entry per market · {{label(m)}}: {{c.join(',')}}
Historical: each strategy's rules as set now, run on Kalshi's real 1-minute price history: an entry wherever its rules would have bought, sized as Live would have sized it, with the order book's depth estimated, settled on Kalshi's real results.
Recorded: the entries each strategy actually made (since the trader started recording), re-sized as Live would have sized them and walked through the order book each one recorded, settled on Kalshi's results. Its rule settings aren't replayed: its entries are the ones it made under the rules it had then. Choose Historical above to run its rules on the price history instead.
Not replayed either way: top-ups (on now: real results would differ), the BTC hold time ({{wi.settings.btc_hold}} s now), the kill switch (on now: Live trades nothing), and how fast a real order fills.
Strategy
Trades
Won–lost
Loss rate · break-even
P&L
Return
Bankroll now
Max drawdown
Live's stop rule
Live (what really happened)
{{num(wi.live.trades)}}
{{wi.live.won}}–{{wi.live.lost}}
{{wi.live.settled ? pct(wi.live.lost / wi.live.settled, 1) : '-'}}
{{signed(wi.live.pnl)}}
{{wiLabel(x.name)}}
{{x.r.note}}
{{num(x.r.trades)}} +{{x.r.open}} open
{{x.r.won}}–{{x.r.lost}}
{{pct(wiLossRate(x.r), 1)}} · {{pct(x.r.breakeven, 1)}}
{{signed(x.r.pnl)}}
{{x.r.start ? pct(x.r.pnl / x.r.start, 1) : '-'}}
{{usd(x.r.end)}}
{{pct(x.r.drawdown, 1)}}
stopped {{time(x.r.stop.at)}}{{x.r.note || '-'}}
replaying…
No trades in this period: {{wiIdle.map(label).join(', ')}}. show them
Click a strategy for its bankroll curve, coins, days and trades.
{{wiLabel(wiDetail.name)}} as if Live had traded it: {{num(wiDetail.r.trades)}} trades, {{signed(wiDetail.r.pnl)}}
XBuilt from its members' own entries: {{wi.eff.members.map(label).join(', ')}}.
Live's stop rule: {{wiDetail.r.stop.why}}, {{time(wiDetail.r.stop.at)}}.
Most at stake at one time: {{usd(wiDetail.r.max_open)}}{{wiDetail.r.start ? ' (' + pct(wiDetail.r.max_open / wiDetail.r.start, 0) + ' of the starting bankroll)' : ''}}
Made smaller by: {{wiLimits(wiDetail.r.capped)}}
Not traded: {{wiLimits(wiDetail.r.skipped)}}
Coin
Trades
Won–lost
Max open
Wins $
Losses $
P&L
P&L %
{{c.coin}}
{{c.trades}}
{{c.won}}–{{c.lost}}
{{c.max_open === undefined ? '' : usd(c.max_open)}}
{{c.won_usd === undefined ? '' : signed(c.won_usd)}}
{{c.lost_usd === undefined ? '' : signed(c.lost_usd)}}
{{signed(c.pnl)}}
{{c.cost ? pct(c.pnl / c.cost, 2) : ''}}
↳ {{label(m.via)}}
{{m.trades}}
{{m.won}}–{{m.lost}}
{{m.max_open === undefined ? '' : usd(m.max_open)}}
{{signed(m.won_usd)}}
{{signed(m.lost_usd)}}
{{signed(m.pnl)}}
{{m.cost ? pct(m.pnl / m.cost, 2) : ''}}
Day
Trades
Won–lost
Max open
Wins $
Losses $
P&L
P&L %
Running total
{{d.day}}
{{d.trades}}
{{d.won}}–{{d.lost}}
{{d.max_open === undefined ? '' : usd(d.max_open)}}
{{d.won_usd === undefined ? '' : signed(d.won_usd)}}
{{d.lost_usd === undefined ? '' : signed(d.lost_usd)}}
{{signed(d.pnl)}}
{{wiDayPct(wiDetail.r, d)}}
{{signed(d.cum)}}
When{{tsMark('wi', 'at')}}
Market{{tsMark('wi', 'market')}}
Member{{tsMark('wi', 'via')}}
z{{tsMark('wi', 'z')}}
Left{{tsMark('wi', 'secs')}}
Contracts @ price{{tsMark('wi', 'price')}}
{{wi.source === 'history' ? 'Book (est.)' : 'Paper'}}{{tsMark('wi', 'paper')}}
Cost{{tsMark('wi', 'cost')}}
Limited by{{tsMark('wi', 'by')}}
Result{{tsMark('wi', 'result')}}
P&L{{tsMark('wi', 'pnl')}}
Running total{{tsMark('wi', 'cum')}}
{{time(t.at)}}
{{t.market}} {{String(t.side).toUpperCase()}}
{{label(t.via)}}
{{t.z === null ? '-' : t.z.toFixed(2)}}
{{t.secs === null ? '' : Math.floor(t.secs / 60) + ':' + String(t.secs % 60).padStart(2, '0')}}
{{num(t.qty)}} @ {{cents(t.price, 1)}}
{{num(t.paper_qty)}}
{{usd(t.cost)}}
{{t.by || ''}}
{{t.pnl === null ? 'open' : (t.result === 'void' || (t.result !== 'yes' && t.result !== 'no') ? 'void' : (t.pnl < 0 ? 'lost' : 'won'))}}
{{signed(t.pnl)}}{{t.pnl === null ? '' : signed(t.pnl)}}
{{t.cum === undefined ? '' : signed(t.cum)}}
When{{tsMark('wi', 'at')}}
Market{{tsMark('wi', 'market')}}
Member{{tsMark('wi', 'via')}}
z{{tsMark('wi', 'z')}}
Price{{tsMark('wi', 'price')}}
Why not traded{{tsMark('wi', 'why')}}
Market went{{tsMark('wi', 'result')}}
{{time(t.at)}}
{{t.market}} {{String(t.side).toUpperCase()}}
{{label(t.via)}}
{{t.z === null ? '-' : t.z.toFixed(2)}}
{{cents(t.price, 1)}}
{{t.why}}
{{t.won === null ? 'not settled' : (t.won ? 'would have won' : 'would have lost')}}
show 300 more ({{wiTradesAll.length - wi.tlimit}} not shown)
None.
{{c.s.asset}}{{spot(c.s.benchmark_price)}}
{{c.diff === null ? 'Strike unknown' : spotDiff(c.diff, c.s.benchmark_price) + ' ' + (c.diff >= 0 ? 'above' : 'below') + ' ' + spot(c.s.strike)}}
watching ·
YES {{quote(c.buyYes)}}
{{quote(c.buyNo)}} NO
{{o.side.toUpperCase()}} Live {{num(o.filled_quantity)}} @ {{cents(o.avg_fill_price, 1)}}{{usd((o.filled_quantity || 0) * (o.avg_fill_price || 0) + (o.fees || 0))}}
{{h.side.toUpperCase()}} {{label(h.strategy)}} via {{label(h.via)}}{{num(h.quantity)}} · {{usd(h.cost)}}
No active markets right now (no snapshot in the last 20 minutes).
YES and NO are what one contract costs now; it pays $1 if its side wins. Newer coins update every 30 seconds ("watching") until their last 8 minutes. Hover a chart for any moment's prices.
Spot feed vs settlement
Kalshi's settlement value minus our raw feed's average over each window's final minute, last 24 hours (positive: the raw feed reads low). Every strategy gets the price corrected by the median of the last 8 windows, where that is at least 2 bp.
Coin
Gap now
Correction
Range (10–90%)
Status
{{b.coin}}
{{bp(b.median)}}
{{b.correction ? bp(b.correction) : '-'}}
{{bp(b.p10)}} to {{bp(b.p90)}}
{{b.status}}
No settlements measured yet.
Open positions
{{lvView.open.length}}
At stake
{{usd(lvView.atRisk)}}
Today's real P&L
{{lvView.dayPnl === null ? '-' : signed(lvView.dayPnl)}}
Fill rate
{{lvView.s && lvView.s.requested ? pct(lvView.s.filled / lvView.s.requested, 0) : '-'}}
Price vs paper
{{centsDiff(lvView.s && lvView.s.price_vs_paper)}}
Staked (all time)
{{usd(lvView.s && lvView.s.staked)}}
{{p.asset}} {{p.side.toUpperCase()}}
{{marketLabel(p.ticker)}}{{num(p.contracts)}} @ {{cents(p.avg_price, 1)}} · {{p.orders}} order{{p.orders > 1 ? 's' : ''}}
Cost (fees included)
{{usd(p.cost)}}
Value at the bid
{{usd(p.value)}}
P&L at the bid
{{signed(p.pnl)}}
Pays if it wins
{{signed(p.contracts - p.cost)}}
Coin vs strike
{{p.lastSpot !== null ? spot(p.lastSpot) + ' vs ' + spot(p.strike) : '-'}}
{{p.winning === null ? 'Waiting for the result' : p.winning ? 'Likely won (last spot past the strike); waiting for Kalshi' : 'Likely lost; waiting for Kalshi'}}
No open real positions. {{status.real_orders === false && status.blockers && status.blockers.length ? 'Real orders are off: ' + status.blockers.join('; ') + '.' : 'They appear here the moment an order fills.'}}
Today's settled positions since midnight, your time
AllWonLost
Export CSV
Entered{{tsMark('lvs', 'at')}}
Market{{tsMark('lvs', 'coin')}}
Side{{tsMark('lvs', 'side')}}
Contracts{{tsMark('lvs', 'qty')}}
Avg{{tsMark('lvs', 'avg')}}
Cost{{tsMark('lvs', 'cost')}}
Result{{tsMark('lvs', 'result')}}
P&L{{tsMark('lvs', 'pnl')}}
Running total{{tsMark('lvs', 'cum')}}
{{timeOfDay(p.entered_at)}}
{{marketLabel(p.ticker)}}
{{p.side.toUpperCase()}}
{{num(p.contracts)}}
{{cents(p.avg_price, 1)}}
{{usd(p.cost)}}
{{p.result === p.side ? 'Won' : 'Lost'}}
{{signed(p.pnl)}}
{{signed(p.cum)}}
Nothing settled yet today.
Loading…
Loading…
Real orders
{{sysView.sc.orders}} {{chg(sysView.sc.orders, sysView.sp.orders, 'higher').text}}
Decision → Kalshi (median)
{{ms(sysView.sc.medianDecisionToKalshi)}} {{chg(sysView.sc.medianDecisionToKalshi, sysView.sp.medianDecisionToKalshi, 'lower').text}}
Filled in full
{{pct(sysView.sc.fullFillRate, 0)}}
Nothing filled
{{pct(sysView.sc.unfilledRate, 0)}}
Wanted contracts filled
{{pct(sysView.sc.wantedFilled, 0)}}
Missed (est.)
{{num(sysView.sc.contractsMissed)}} {{usd(sysView.sc.dollarsMissed)}}
Failed
{{sysView.sc.failed}}
Order pipeline {{sysView.cur.measured}} instrumented orders · decision → Kalshi p50 {{ms(sysView.cur.stages.decision_to_kalshi && sysView.cur.stages.decision_to_kalshi.p50)}}, event → Kalshi p50 {{ms(sysView.cur.stages.event_to_kalshi && sysView.cur.stages.event_to_kalshi.p50)}}
Stage
Median
p90
Before
{{s.l}}
{{ms(s.p50)}} {{chg(s.p50, s.prev.p50, 'lower').text}}
{{ms(s.p90)}}
{{ms(s.prev.p50)}}
Decision → Kalshi and fills {{sysView.best < 0 ? 'No well-sampled bucket yet: no estimate.' : 'Had every order filled like the best faster bucket: about ' + usd(sysView.cur.extra) + ' more (' + usd(sysView.w.days > 0 ? sysView.cur.extra / sysView.w.days : null) + ' a day).'}}
Decision → Kalshi
Orders
Contracts filled
Nothing filled
Missed
Missed $ (est.)
{{bucketLabel(i)}}
{{b.orders}}
{{pct(b.fillShare, 0)}}
{{pct(b.unfilledRate, 0)}}
{{num(b.contractsMissed)}}
{{usd(b.dollarsMissed)}}
What real-time trading caught {{sysView.cur.caught.checked}} real-time entries checked against the 5-second scan's next look
Scan would have missed
{{sysView.cur.caught.counts.missed}}
{{usd(sysView.cur.caught.missedStaked)}} staked, {{usd(sysView.cur.caught.missedProfit)}} if won
Scan price worse
{{sysView.cur.caught.counts.worse}}
{{usd(sysView.cur.caught.worseSaved)}} saved
Same
{{sysView.cur.caught.counts.same}}
Scan better
{{sysView.cur.caught.counts.better}}
Time
Market
Trigger
Scan
Filled
Price
Scan price
{{time(r.created_at)}}
{{marketLabel(r.ticker)}}
{{r.trigger || '-'}}
{{r.scan && r.scan.outcome}}
{{num(r.filled)}}
{{cents(r.avg_price !== null && r.avg_price !== undefined ? r.avg_price : r.limit_price, 1)}}
{{cents(r.scan && r.scan.price, 1)}}
Speed over time
{{sysView.w.bucket === 3600 ? 'hourly' : '5-minute'}} points; dashed lines mark speed changes
Every stage from {{sys.metric_rows.cur}} trader_metrics rows ({{sys.metric_rows.prev}} before)
Measurement
Count
Median
p90
Max
Median before
{{sysLabel(m.name)}}
{{num(m.cur && m.cur.n)}}
{{ms(m.cur && m.cur.p50)}} {{chg(m.cur && m.cur.p50, m.prev && m.prev.p50, 'lower').text}}
{{ms(m.cur && m.cur.p90)}}
{{ms(m.cur && m.cur.max)}}
{{ms(m.prev && m.prev.p50)}}
No metrics in this period.
Count
Total
Per minute
Before
{{c.name.replace(/_/g, ' ')}}
{{num(c.cur)}}
{{c.rate === null ? '-' : num(Math.round(c.rate * 600) / 10)}}
{{num(c.prev)}}
Before and after each speed change
From
Change
Orders
Decision → Kalshi
Filled in full
Nothing filled
{{time(m.at)}}
{{m.label}}
{{sys.orders.eras[i].orders}}
{{ms(sys.orders.eras[i].medianDecisionToKalshi)}}
{{pct(sys.orders.eras[i].fullFillRate, 0)}}
{{pct(sys.orders.eras[i].unfilledRate, 0)}}
Stored results the maintenance process's checks of kb_entry_results against the decisions
Run
Window from
Entries fixed
Sums fixed
Drift
ms
Failure
{{time(a.at)}}
{{a.since ? time(a.since) : 'all'}}
{{a.entries_fixed}}
{{a.hours_fixed}}
{{a.errors}}
{{a.ms}}
{{a.failure || ''}}
No runs recorded.
Connections
{{r[0]}} · {{r[1]}} {{r[3]}}
Pause releases stop new entries from 15 minutes before to 15 minutes after: every coin tends to jump at once around them. Watch releases are only logged, with how the live account's trades around them did, until their record says they should pause too. The trader picks up new pauses within a minute.
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Next pause
{{nwView.next ? nwView.next.name : '-'}}
{{etDate(nwView.next.at)}} · {{spanLabel(nwView.next)}}
In
{{nwView.next ? untilStart(nwView.next) : '-'}}
Next watch
{{nwView.nextWatch ? nwView.nextWatch.name : '-'}}
{{etDate(nwView.nextWatch.at)}}
Releases on file
{{nwView.count}}
All
Pause
Watch
{{part[0]}} the latest 25, with the markets the filter skipped and the live account's trades around them
{{etDate(x.r.at)}}
{{etTime(x.r.at)}} ET · skips {{spanLabel(x.r)}}
{{x.r.name}}
Skipped: ; {{marketLabel(m.ticker)}} {{m.side.toUpperCase()}} {{m.result === m.side ? 'would have won' : 'would have lost'}}unsettled {{signed(m.wouldPnl)}} ({{m.strategies.map(label).join(', ')}})
Live traded {{x.taken.length}} market{{x.taken.length > 1 ? 's' : ''}} around it: {{signed(x.takenPnl)}} (fees left out)
{{x.r.pauses ? 'Pause' : 'Watch'}}
{{part[2]}}
Watch scorecard the live account's trades around each watch release, last 60 days
Release
Releases
Markets traded
Lost
P&L
{{s.name}}
{{s.n}}
{{s.markets}}
{{s.losses}}
{{signed(s.pnl)}}
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Real orders {{status.real_orders ? 'can go out now' : 'are off'}} {{status.blockers.join(' · ')}}
Safety
Kill switch
{{ctl.c.kill_switch ? 'On: ' + (ctl.c.reason || 'no reason given') + '. No new entries; open positions still settle.' : 'Stops every strategy from opening positions within about 10 seconds. Open positions still settle.'}}
{{ctl.c.kill_switch ? 'Resume trading' : 'Stop trading'}}
{{ctl.c.kill_switch ? 'On' : 'Off'}}
Live order cap
The most any single real order can cost, as a share of the Kalshi cash balance at the moment of the order. 0 blocks live orders. Applied within about 10 seconds.
%
Save
{{pct(ctl.c.live_max_order_fraction, 1)}}
≈ {{usd(ctl.bal * capPct / 100)}}
Kalshi cash balance
{{ctl.balAt ? 'Reported by the trader at ' + time(ctl.balAt) + '.' : "The trader hasn't reported a balance yet."}}
{{usd(ctl.bal)}}
Paper bankroll
What each paper account starts from, published by the trader; , {{label(k)}} {{usd(Number(ctl.c.paper_bankrolls[k]))}}. Set in the trader's configuration, not here.
{{usd(ctl.c.paper_bankroll_usd !== null ? ctl.c.paper_bankroll_usd : initdata.bankroll)}}
Research
Record order books
Saves every price level from 85¢ up, every 15 seconds per market, in each window's last 9 minutes. About 50 MB a day; it switches itself off at the end.
{{ctl.recording ? 'On until ' + time(ctl.recording) : 'Off'}}
Stop
Record 7 days
Live trading
Live account
The switch for real money: when on, the Live account places real orders with Combined's settings, sized from the Kalshi account (each within the live order cap). Every other account trades on paper. Turn it on or off on the Live strategy.
{{modeLabel(ctl.liveMode)}}
Real-time trading
On: each market is checked the moment its Kalshi order book or its coin's price changes, so an entry goes out within a fraction of a second of its signal. Any market without a current live book falls back to the 5-second scan. Off: every entry is decided on the scan.
{{ctl.c.realtime_trading ? 'On' : 'Off'}}
{{ctl.c.realtime_trading ? 'Turn off' : 'Turn on'}}
Live coins
Which coins the Live account (and Combined) may trade. BTC, ETH and DOGE always may; a newer coin stays paper-only until it's switched on here. Applied within about 10 seconds.
The trader hasn't published its control limits yet (kb_bot_control.control_limits), so the cap, live coins and the recorder can't be changed.
Combined (and Live) settings
Members
{{String(ctl.combined.combined_members || '').split(',').filter(Boolean).map(label).join(', ') || '—'}}
{{f[1]}}
{{ctl.combined[f[0]] === null || ctl.combined[f[0]] === undefined ? '—' : pct(ctl.combined[f[0]], 1)}}
Change them on Combined's settings.
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Account
Kalshi exchange
{{kaPush.text}}
Save
Test Pushover
Test priority
{{ka.kalshi_env === 'prod' ? 'Production: real money' : 'Demo'}}
Private key
Saved. Fingerprint {{ka.fingerprint || ''}}, set {{time(ka.key_updated_at)}}. The key itself is never shown again.
No key saved. Paper trading only: every strategy and Combined run on paper bankrolls using Kalshi's public prices. Live (real money) stays off until you save a key.
{{kaHeartbeat().text}}
Save key
Test key
Remove key
The key works. {{kaTest.env === 'prod' ? 'Production' : 'Demo'}} balance: {{kaTest.balance_dollars !== null ? usd(Number(kaTest.balance_dollars)) : 'not given'}}
Test failed. {{kaTest.error}}
Saving, replacing or removing the key takes effect within about 15 seconds: the trader restarts (or stops) this account. Create the key on Kalshi (demo or production, matching the exchange above); see Training for the steps.
Notifications email or text when this account trades
Text messages aren't set up on this site: add a Twilio account to wp-config.php (KALSHI_TWILIO_SID, KALSHI_TWILIO_TOKEN, KALSHI_TWILIO_FROM).; ask the site's administrator.
Tell me when
Daily trade review (administrators only)
Add an Anthropic API key to wp-config.php to turn this on: define( 'KALSHI_ANTHROPIC_API_KEY', 'sk-ant-…' );
Not set up on this site; ask the site's administrator.
Save
Send test
Review now
{{kaNotifyResult.text}}
Last review {{ka.notify.review_last.at ? time(ka.notify.review_last.at) : ''}} · {{ka.notify.review_last.model}} · email it again with a fresh review
{{ka.notify.review_last.error}}
{{ka.notify.review_last.text}}
Several trades within a minute come in one message. Turning notifications on starts from now: nothing from before is sent. Last check {{ka.notify.last_run ? time(ka.notify.last_run) : 'never'}}; last message {{ka.notify.last_sent ? time(ka.notify.last_sent) : 'never'}}. Last problem: {{ka.notify.last_error}}
WordPress checks for new trades only when the site gets a visit. For messages within a minute, add this cron job (cPanel → Cron Jobs, Once Per Minute):
wget -q -O - "{{ka.notify.cron_url}}" >/dev/null 2>&1
The site hasn't checked for new trades in the last few minutes; messages may be late. Tell the site's administrator.
People
Owner: , {{u.name || u.login}} ({{u.login}})none
Viewers see this account's pages but can't change anything. Site administrators see every account.
{{u.name || u.login}} ({{u.login}})Remove
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Trader
{{tp.running ? 'Running' : 'Not running'}}
{{tp.heartbeat ? 'last heartbeat ' + ago(tp.heartbeat) : 'no heartbeat yet'}}
Restart
Stop
Start
One trader process runs every account. A command is carried out by the server's keepalive job within a minute. Open positions are never closed: they settle at Kalshi as usual. To stop new trades without stopping the trader, use the kill switch on Controls.
Asked
Command
By
Result
{{time(c.at)}}
{{c.command}}
{{c.by || ''}}
{{c.result || (c.taken ? 'taken' : 'waiting for the keepalive (up to a minute)')}}
Guest demo
{{dm.enabled ? 'On: visitors see it' : 'Off'}}
{{dmBusy ? 'Building… ' + (dmStep || '') : (dm.account ? 'Rebuild' : 'Build')}}
Turn on
Turn off
A sample account for visitors who aren't signed in: the dashboard read only, every page marked "Demo account: sample data, not real trading results". Its trades are the Historical backtest of your main account: your strategies and Live's settings as set now, replayed on Kalshi's real price history of the last 30 days and settled on Kalshi's real results (Live's as real orders, all filled). It rebuilds itself daily. It never trades and never touches your accounts.
Demo account #{{dm.account}} · built {{dm.built_at ? time(dm.built_at) : 'not yet'}} · trades {{dm.since ? time(dm.since) : ''}} to {{dm.last ? time(dm.last) : '-'}} · Live {{dm.trades}} trades, {{signed(dm.pnl)}}. Pick it in the account menu to preview it.
#
Name
Owner
Exchange
Key
Status
Trader
{{a.id}}
{{a.label}}
{{people(a.users, 'viewer').length}} viewer{{people(a.users, 'viewer').length > 1 ? 's' : ''}}
{{ownerLogins(a) || 'none'}}
{{a.kalshi_env === 'prod' ? 'Production' : 'Demo'}}
Saved (no key ID)None
{{a.status === 'active' ? 'Active' : 'Disabled'}}
{{aaTrader(a).text}}
Open
View read-only
Viewers
{{a.status === 'active' ? 'Disable' : 'Enable'}}
Viewers of {{a.label}} X
{{u.name || u.login}} ({{u.login}})Remove
No viewers.
Add viewer
New account
Create account
The owner controls the account (its key, strategies and Live switch). A user owns at most one account. New accounts use Kalshi's demo exchange with Live off. Users with the Kalshi trader role can also create their own.
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{{detail.market}} · {{label(detail.strategy)}} via {{label(detail.via)}}
X
When
{{when(detail.at)}}
Decision
{{decisionLabel(detail.decision)}} {{reason(detail.reason)}}
Bought
{{num(detail.qty)}} × {{detail.side.toUpperCase()}} at {{cents(detail.price)}} = {{usd(detail.cost)}}
Price seen
{{detail.side.toUpperCase()}} at {{cents(detail.price)}}
{{String(detail.reason).indexOf('risk_') === 0 || detail.reason === 'kill_switch' ? 'Blocked by' : 'Caused by'}}
{{detail.block.setting}} = {{detail.block.value}}
· {{detail.block.owner === 'Controls' ? 'on the Controls page' : label(detail.block.owner) + "'s settings"}}
{{detail.block.why}}
Open Controls
Open {{label(detail.block.owner)}}'s settings
Had it traded
{{detail.would.qty}} × {{String(detail.side).toUpperCase()}} ≈ {{usd(detail.would.cost)}} (full stake, estimated from the bankroll)
→ the market hasn't settled yet
void (refunded)
would have {{detail.would.won ? 'won' : 'lost'}} {{signed(detail.would.pnl)}}
Not counted in any total.
Distance (z)
{{detail.z.toFixed(2)}} standard deviations past the strike, {{Math.round(detail.secs_left / 60 * 10) / 10}} min before close
If it wins
{{signed(detail.analysis.if_win)}}
If it loses
{{signed(detail.analysis.if_lose)}}
Break-even
loses no more than {{pct(detail.analysis.breakeven, 1)}} of the time (one loss takes about {{detail.analysis.wins_per_loss}} wins to make up)
After entry
bid ranged {{cents(detail.analysis.worst_bid)}} – {{cents(detail.analysis.best_bid)}}, last {{cents(detail.analysis.bid_now)}}
Settled
{{pct(Math.abs(detail.analysis.settle_margin), 3)}} {{detail.analysis.settle_margin >= 0 ? 'on its side' : 'against it'}} of the strike
Result
Void (refunded)
{{detail.result.toUpperCase()}} · {{signed(detail.analysis.pnl)}}
Open · {{signed(detail.analysis.pnl_now)}} if sold at the bid now
—
Real order
{{detail.order.status}} · filled {{num(detail.order.filled_quantity || 0)}} of {{detail.order.quantity}} at {{cents(detail.order.avg_fill_price)}} · {{detail.order.error}}
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{{msgbox.title || 'Messages'}}
X
{{msgbox.confirm || 'Yes'}}
{{msgbox.confirm ? 'Cancel' : 'No'}}